Play Fantasy The Most Award Winning Fantasy game with real time scoring, top expert analysis, custom settings, and more. Play Now
 
Tag:Schmolik
Posted on: March 13, 2011 8:52 pm
 

Comments on the Real Bracket (Selection of Teams)

Hello, college basketball fans!

Time for me to compare the NCAA bracket to my last bracket: http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/
entry/13974652/27891567


The Selection Committee differed on four NCAA teams. I had Harvard, Colorado, Alabama, and Missouri State instead of Georgia, USC, VCU, and Clemson. I have records since 1997 and this is the first time the NCAA differed on four teams (the last two seasons we only differed on one). Now you can say I "did worse", but that assumes the NCAA is "right" and I beg to differ. Actually, I like to compare my bracket to the Bracket Matrix (http://bracketproject.50webs.com/ma
trix.htm
) as to what is right. There are only ten members on the Committtee, the Bracket Matrix has 87 brackets.

Another thing I thought about the differences between my bracket and the NCAA's. Of the four teams I put in that the NCAA left out, three were in the First Four. Harvard was the only team that was not in the First Four that the NCAA chose and Harvard was the last team in before the First Four teams. Of the four teams the NCAA put in that I missed, three were in their First Four (the only team was Georgia). Had this been a 64 team field, we would have differed on just one team (and the team I would have missed would have been the last team I put in). My #65 would have been Colorado. I'm not sure who their #65 was. Clearly those next four created the huge gap between our brackets. If you have to choose more teams (or more at large teams), you are likely to get more differences. That's my story and I'm sticking with it. 

I am very big on "head to head" and I have a problem that Alabama beat Georgia twice (this month, including a victory in the SEC Tournament) but Georgia got in over Alabama (and got in as a 10 seed). Alabama finished three full games (although in a weaker division) than Georgia. I can see Alabama not getting in but then you shouldn't put Georgia in either.

I am not a fan of USC getting in. Their RPI, conference RPI, and non conference RPI were all over 60. The Trojans had five Top 50 wins but so did Colorado. Alabama had four Top 50 wins. I consider a bad loss any home loss to a team with an RPI over 100 and any loss to a team with an RPI over 200. USC had FOUR bad losses, they lost to Oregon at home and lost to TCU, Oregon State, and Bradley, all teams with RPI's worse than 200. No team that I considered a bubble team had more than two. Those three horrible losses should have cancelled out USC's good wins.

This was a down year for the ACC. The Big East had 10 teams in the Top 50 RPI. The Big 10 had six and Michigan at 51. The ACC had only Duke and North Carolina in the Top 50. Clemson had no top 50 wins this season. I can understand an Alabama or a Colorado with a high RPI getting in over a Missouri State that has no top 50 wins. But if Clemson and Missouri State  both have no top 50 wins, how is Clemson a better team than Missouri State (or Harvard, who did beat Princeton)? The ACC is no doubt a stronger conference than the MVC but Missouri State won the MVC outright and Clemson was just 9-7 in the regular season.

The last team I did not have was VCU. They finished third in the Colonial Athletic Association and lost six games in the league. They beat Old Dominion during the regular season and George Mason in the CAA semifinals and that probably got them in. I don't think wins over ODU and GMU are what should put you in the NCAA's. VCU also lost five of their last ten games.

I mentioned Missouri State and Harvard and I realized they were longshots.

I really feel bad for Harvard as they lost on the buzzer yesterday vs. Princeton. I was actually worried with Illinois on the bubble that Princeton's win could have cost someone else a bid. It turned out that was not the case. I'm sure most people were cheering for Old Dominion last week in the CAA final afraid that VCU would steal a bid. It turns out the final was irrelevant and VCU actually did steal a bid. 

As for Missouri State, a lot of people feel for Virginia Tech's Seth Greenberg but to be fair it's hard to justify an NCAA bid with an RPI over 60. If you want to feel bad for someone, consider that Missouri State is the first regular season MVC champion to miss the NCAA Tournament since 1993. Five years ago, these same Missouri State Bears were the highest RPI ever to be left out of the NCAA's (21). If you are going to feel for Virginia Tech, you got to feel for Missouri State who continue to fall short of the NCAA's. Virginia Tech last made the NCAA's in 2007. Missouri State? 1999.

One team that quite a few people on another four letter network that I don't think I'm allowed to mention that I do agree with is UAB. Their RPI was 31 and they were the regular season champion of Conference USA. According to the RPI, Conference USA had eight teams in the top 100 RPI so why not reward their champion? I think Memphis's last second win probably put UAB in. Memphis probably had a better profile if you had to compare the two (Memphis swept UAB). Then again, if the Committee put in Georgia head of Alabama, they probably could have put UAB over Memphis too (although there was less of a difference in RPI). Both the NCAA and I did have UAB in the First Four so we both were skeptical about the Blazers.

I'm not happy about the four teams the NCAA put in that I didn't but then again I'm not too thrilled with the First Four teams I had in either. I think the tournament would have been better with 64 teams. I actually think there would be less disagreement had there been only 64 teams instead of 68.

In Part 2, I will discuss seeding and bracketing disagreements.



 


Category: NCAAB
Posted on: March 7, 2011 3:06 pm
 

Schmolik 64 Update (3/7/11) - Championship Week!

Hello, college basketball fans!

Welcome to the March 7, 2011 update of the Schmolik 64.

This is the update for Championship Week so for the first time I will include all 64 teams. For one bid conferences, I will list the highest seed remaining in the conference. Keep in mind these seeds will go up or down depending on who wins at the end. Expect the final Schmolik 64 Sunday after the conclusion of the Big Ten Tournament.

Dates:

Opening Weekend: Thur/Sat March 17-19, Fri/Sun March 18-20

Regionals: Thur/Sat March 24-26, Fri/Sun March 25-27

* Clinched Automatic Bid

 

EAST REGIONAL (Newark, NJ - Fri/Sun)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun)

(1) Ohio State (29-2) vs. (16) First Four: Bethune Cookman / MEAC (16-11) vs. McNeese State / Southland (15-10)

(8) UCLA (22-9) vs. (9) Tennessee (18-13)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat)

(5) Texas A&M (22-7) vs. (12) Missouri State (25-8)

(4) Syracuse (25-6) vs. (13) First Four: Memphis (22-9) vs. Virginia Tech (19-10)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat)

(6) Temple (24-6) vs. (11) Michigan (18-12)

(3) Louisville (23-8) vs. (14) Iona / MAAC (22-10)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun)

(7) Connecticut (21-9) vs. (10) Butler (21-9)

(2) North Carolina (24-6) vs. (15) LIU-Brooklyn / Northeast (26-5)

 

WEST REGIONAL (Anaheim, CA - Thur/Sat)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun)

(1) Notre Dame (25-5) vs. (16) Boston University / America East (20-13)

(8) George Mason (26-6) vs. (9) Missouri (21-9)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat)

(5) Arizona (25-6) vs. (12) Richmond (24-7)

(4) Wisconsin (23-7) vs. (13) Oakland / Summit (22-9)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun)

(6) Georgetown (21-9) vs. (11) St. Mary's (22-7)

(3) Texas (25-6) vs. (14) Morehead State* / Ohio Valley (22-9)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat)

(7) Vanderbilt (21-9) vs. (10) Illinois (19-12)

(2) Brigham Young (27-3) vs. (15) Long Beach State / Big West (18-10)

 

SOUTHEAST REGIONAL (New Orleans, LA - Thur/Sat)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun)

(1) Pittsburgh (27-4) vs. (16) First Four: Middle Tennessee State / Sun Belt (15-15) vs. Texas Southern / SWAC (18-11)

(8) UNLV (23-7) vs. (9) Florida State (21-9)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat)

(5) Kansas State (21-9) vs. (12) Washington (20-10)

(4) Kentucky (22-8) vs. (13) Indiana State * / Missouri Valley (19-13)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun)

(6) Cincinnati (24-7) vs. (11) Harvard / Ivy (21-5)

(3) Purdue (25-6) vs. (14) Kent State / MAC (20-10)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun)

(7) Villanova (21-10) vs. (10) Georgia (20-10)

(2) Duke (27-4) vs. (15) Bucknell / Patriot (24-8)

 

SOUTHWEST REGIONAL (San Antonio, TX -  Fri/Sun)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun)

(1) Kansas (29-2) vs. (16) UNC Asheville * / Big South (16-13)

(8) Old Dominion (26-6) vs. (9) UAB (22-7)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat)

(5) Xavier (24-6) vs. (12) First Four: Clemson (20-10) vs. Penn State (16-13)

(4) St. John's (20-10) vs. (13) Belmont * / Atlantic Sun (30-4)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat)

(6) West Virginia (20-10) vs. (11) Michigan State (16-13)

(3) Florida (24-6) vs. (14) College of Charleston / Southern (24-9)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat)

(7) Utah State (27-3) vs. (10) Boston College (19-11)

(2) San Diego State (27-2) vs. (15) Northern Colorado / Big Sky (17-10)

 
By Seed (East/Southeast/Southwest/West)

1. Ohio State, Pittsburgh. Kansas, Notre Dame
2. North Carolina, Duke, San Diego State, BYU
3. Louisville, Purdue, Florida, Texas
4. Syracuse, Kentucky, St. John's, Wisconsin
5. Texas A&M, Kansas State, Xavier, Arizona
6. Temple, Cincinnati, West Virginia, Georgetown
7. Connecticut, Villanova, Utah State, Vanderbilt
8. UCLA, UNLV, Old Dominion, George Mason
9. Tennessee, Florida State, UAB, Missouri
10. Butler, Georgia, Boston College, Illinois
11. Michigan, Harvard, Michigan State, St. Mary's
12. Missouri State, Washington, Clemson/Penn State, Richmond
13. Virgina Tech/Memphis, Indiana State*, Belmont*, Oakland
14. Iona, Kent State, Coll. of Charleston, Morehead State*
15. LIU-Brooklyn, Bucknell, Northern Colorado, Long Beach State
16. Bethune Cookman/McNeese State, Midd Tenn State/Texas Southern, UNC Asheville*, Boston University

RPI Numbers according to CBS Sports RPI:

Lowest RPI at large berth: Virginia Tech (63)

Lowest RPI at large berth, non First Four: Michigan (56)

Highest RPI not selected: Cleveland State (41)

RPI in top 50 not selected: Cleveland State (41), Colorado State (43), Virginia Commonwealth (48), Marshall (49)

RPI below 50 at large berths, non First Four: Richmond (55), Michigan (56)

First Four: Memphis (38), Penn State (54), Clemson (59), Virginia Tech (63)

 

Bids By Conference:

Big East (10)

Big Ten (7)

ACC (6)

Big 12 (5)

SEC (5)

Pac-10 (3)

MWC (3)

A-10 (3)

Colonial (2)

C-USA (2)

MVC (2)

One Team (for now): (20)

No. 1 Seed Ranks: No. 1 Ohio State, No. 2 Pittsburgh, No. 3 Kansas, No. 4 Notre Dame (East vs. West and Southeast vs. Southwest in Final Four)

Compare my brackets to CBS Sports Bracketology and others at the Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix.

Remember to comment! If you think a team or teams that are out should be in or vice versa, let me hear from you!

Posted on: February 28, 2011 2:41 pm
Edited on: February 28, 2011 2:48 pm
 

Schmolik 64 Update (2/28/11)

Hello, college basketball fans!

Welcome to the Feb. 28, 2011 update for the 2011 Schmolik 64. At the end of the regular season I will pick a complete NCAA bracket with the teams I think belong in the NCAA field and where they should be seeded. Up to then, there will be updates to see where your team stands if the season ended today (Records as of Sun. Feb. 27, 2011).

Until Championship Week, I will only seed the top 12 seeds. The bottom four seeds are usually reserved for one-bid conferences in which usually only the conference champion goes.
To accommodate this year's new "First Four" format, I am reserving two 12 seed lines for the "First Four." You should interpret these as being among the last teams to get into the field (although there could be exceptions based upon bracketing rules which prevent the actual last four from making the field). However, if only one team from a conference is listed, that team will not be placed in a First Four slot.

Until the final bracket, the No. 1 seeds will not be given ranks (although geographic placement will be considered) and no semifinal matchups will be provided.

For the record, I know there are 68 teams now but if I had my way there would still be just 64 teams and when I started the Schmolik 64 there were just 64 teams.

EAST REGIONAL (Newark, NJ Fri/Sun March 25-27)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Ohio State (27-2) vs (16)
(8) Cincinnati (22-7) vs (9) Old Dominion (24-6)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(5) Georgetown (21-8) vs (12) First Four: UAB (20-7) vs Harvard (19-5)
(4) North Carolina (22-6) vs (13)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat March 17-19)

(6) Texas A&M (21-6) vs (11) Missouri State (23-7)
(3) San Diego State (25-2) vs (14)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(7) Temple (22-6) vs (10) Michigan State (15-12)
(2) Notre Dame (23-5) vs (15)

SOUTHEAST REGIONAL (New Orleans, LA Thur/Sat March 24-26)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Pittsburgh (25-4) vs (16)
(8) Missouri (21-7) vs (9) Virginia Tech (19-8)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) UCLA (21-8)  vs (12) First Four: Michigan (17-12) vs Southern Mississippi (18-7)
(4) Florida (22-6) vs (13)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(6) Villanova (21-8) vs (11) Butler (20-9)
(3) Wisconsin (22-6) vs (14)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(7) West Virginia (18-10) vs (10) Tennessee (17-12)
(2) Texas (24-5) vs (15)

SOUTHWEST REGIONAL (San Antonio, TX Fri/Sun March 25-27)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Kansas (27-2) vs (16)
(8) Utah State (25-3) vs (9) Florida State (20-8)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) Vanderbilt (20-7) vs (12) Washington (19-9)
(4) Connecticut (21-7) vs (13)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(6) Xavier (22-6) vs (11) Memphis (21-8)
(3) Louisville (22-7) vs (14)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(7) UNLV (22-7) vs (10) Marquette (18-11)
(2) Purdue (24-5) vs (15)

WEST REGIONAL (Anaheim, CA Thur/Sat March 24-26)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(1) Brigham Young (26-2) vs (16)
(8) Kansas State (19-9) vs (9) Illinois (18-11)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) Kentucky (20-8) vs (12) Princeton (21-5)
(4) St. John’s (19-9) vs (13)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(6) Arizona (23-6) vs (11) St. Mary’s (21-7)
(3) Syracuse (24-6) vs (14)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(7) George Mason (25-5) vs (10) Georgia (19-9)
(2) Duke (26-3) vs (15)

Seeds (listed East/Southeast/Southwest/West):
1. Ohio State, Pittsburgh, Kansas, BYU
2. Notre Dame, Texas, Purdue, Duke
3. San Diego State, Wisconsin, Louisville, Syracuse
4. North Carolina, Florida, Connecticut, St. John's
5. Georgetown, UCLA, Vanderbilt, Kentucky
6. Texas A&M, Villanova, Xavier, Arizona
7. Temple, West Virginia, UNLV, George Mason
8. Cincinnati, Missouri, Utah State, Kansas State
9. Old Dominion, Virginia Tech, Florida State, Illinois
10. Michigan State, Tennessee, Marquette, Georgia
11. Missouri State, Butler, Memphis, St. Mary's
12. Washington, Princeton (First Four: UAB, Harvard, Michigan, Southern Miss)

Big East (11)
Big Ten (6)
SEC (5)
Big 12 (5)
MWC (4)
ACC (4)
C-USA (3)
Pac-10 (3)
A-10 (2)
Colonial (2)
Ivy (2)
Horizon (1)
MVC (1)
WAC (1)
WCC (1)

Remaining Automatics (16)
Unclaimed Slots (2 - reserved for party crashers)

Compare my bracket to CBS Sports Bracketology and many others at Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix.

Please comment! I will assume you are 100% satisfied with this bracket if you don't!

 

Category: NCAAB
Posted on: February 21, 2011 6:45 pm
Edited on: February 22, 2011 5:53 am
 

Schmolik 64 Update (2/21/11)

Hello, college basketball fans!

Welcome to the second update for the 2011 Schmolik 64. At the end of the regular season I will pick a complete NCAA bracket with the teams I think belong in the NCAA field and where they should be seeded. Up to then, there will be updates to see where your team stands if the season ended today (Records as of Sun. Feb. 20, 2011).

Until Championship Week, I will only seed the top 12 seeds. The bottom four seeds are usually reserved for one-bid conferences in which usually only the conference champion goes.

To accommodate this year's new "First Four" format, I am reserving two 12 seed lines for the "First Four." You should interpret these as being among the last teams to get into the field (although there could be exceptions based upon bracketing rules which prevent the actual last four from making the field). However, if only one team from a conference is listed, that team will not be placed in a First Four slot.

Until the final bracket, the No. 1 seeds will not be given ranks (although geographic placement will be considered) and no semifinal matchups will be provided.

For the record, I know there are 68 teams now but if I had my way there would still be just 64 teams and when I started the Schmolik 64 there were just 64 teams.

Here's the bracket update for Feb. 21, 2011.

EAST REGIONAL (Newark, NJ Fri/Sun March 25-27)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Pittsburgh vs (16)
(8) Memphis vs (9) Florida State

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) Texas A&M vs (12) Princeton
(4) Vanderbilt vs (13)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(6) Syracuse vs (11) Colorado State
(3) Arizona vs (14)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(7) Temple vs (10) Cincinnati
(2) Purdue vs (15)

SOUTHEAST REGIONAL (New Orleans, LA Thur/Sat March 24-26)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Ohio State vs (16)
(8) UCLA vs (9) Kansas State

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) Connecticut vs (12) First Four – UAB/Valparaiso
(4) Florida vs (13)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(6) Missouri vs (11) Michigan
(3) Notre Dame vs (14)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(7) Utah State vs (10) Georgia
(2) San Diego State vs (15)

SOUTHWEST REGIONAL (San Antonio, TX Fri/Sun March 25-27)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Duke vs (16)
(8) UNLV vs (9) Tennessee

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) Xavier vs (12) Missouri State
(4) Louisville vs (13)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(6) Kentucky vs (11) Butler
(3) Georgetown vs (14)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(7) George Mason vs (10) Illinois
(2) Kansas vs (15)

WEST REGIONAL (Anaheim, CA Thur/Sat March 24-26)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Texas vs (16)
(8) Washington vs (9) Old Dominion

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) North Carolina vs (12) First Four: Michigan State/Cleveland State
(4) St. John’s vs (13)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(6) Villanova vs (11) Southern Mississippi
(3) Wisconsin vs (14)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(7) West Virginia vs (10) St. Mary’s
(2) Brigham Young vs (15)

Big East (10)
Big Ten (6)
SEC (5)
Big 12 (5)
MWC (4)
ACC (3)
C-USA (3)
Pac-10 (3)
A-10 (2)
Horizon (3)
Colonial (2)
Ivy (1)
MVC (1)
WAC (1)
WCC (1)

Remaining Automatics (16)
Unclaimed Slots (2 - reserved for party crashers)

Compare my bracket to CBS Sports Bracketology and many others at Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix.

Please comment! I will assume you are 100% satisfied with this bracket if you don't!

Category: NCAAB
Posted on: February 14, 2011 6:26 pm
Edited on: February 16, 2011 7:06 am
 

Schmolik 64 Update (2/14/11)

Hello, college basketball fans!

Welcome to the first update for the 2011 Schmolik 64. At the end of the regular season, I will pick a complete NCAA bracket with the teams I think belong in the NCAA field and where they should be seeded. Up to then, there will be updates to see where your team stands if the season ended today (Records as of Sun. Feb. 13, 2011).

Until Championship Week, I will only seed the top 12 seeds. The bottom four seeds are usually reserved for one bid conferences in which usually only the conference champion goes from those conferences. For this year to accommodate the new "First Four" format, I am reserving two 12 seed lines for the "First Four". You should interpret these as being among the last teams to get into the field (although there could be exceptions based upon bracketing rules which prevent the actual last four from making the field).

Until the final bracket, the #1 seeds will not be given ranks (although geographic placement will be considered) and no semifinal matchups will be provided.

For the record, I know there are 68 teams now but if I had my way there would still be just 64 teams and when I started the Schmolik 64 there were just 64 teams.

Here's the bracket update for Feb. 14, 2011.

EAST REGIONAL (Newark, NJ Fri/Sun March 25-27)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Pittsburgh vs (16)
(8) Temple vs (9) Colorado State

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) Texas A&M vs (12) Cincinnati
(4) Arizona vs (13)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(6) Syracuse vs (11) Missouri State
(3) Wisconsin vs (14)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(7) Tennessee vs (10) Valparaiso
(2) Duke vs (15)

SOUTHEAST REGIONAL (New Orleans, LA Thur/Sat March 24-26)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Ohio State vs (16)
(8) St. Mary's vs (9) Georgia

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) Xavier vs (12) First Four - Texas El Paso/Harvard
(4) Louisville vs (13)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(6) Missouri vs (11) UNLV
(3) Florida vs (14)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(7) George Mason vs (10) Illinois
(2) Notre Dame vs (15)

SOUTHWEST REGIONAL (San Antonio, TX Fri/Sun March 25-27)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Kansas vs (16)
(8) Florida State vs (9) Utah State

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) Vanderbilt vs (12) Princeton
(4) Connecticut vs (13)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(6) St. John's vs (11) UAB
(3) Purdue vs (14)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(7) UCLA vs (10) Marquette
(2) San Diego State vs (15)

WEST REGIONAL (Anaheim, CA Thur/Sat March 24-26)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(1) Texas vs (16)
(8) Washington vs (9) Memphis

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(5) Villanova vs (12) First Four: Butler/Michigan
(4) North Carolina vs (13)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun March 18-20)
(6) Kentucky vs (11) Minnesota
(3) Georgetown vs (14)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat March 17-19)
(7) West Virginia vs (10) Old Dominion
(2) Brigham Young vs (15)

Big East (11)
Big 10 (6)
SEC (5)
Big 12 (4)
MWC (4)
ACC (3)
C-USA (3)
Pac-10 (3)
A-10 (2)
Colonial (2)
Horizon (2)
Ivy (2)
MVC (1)
WAC (1)
WCC (1)
Remaining Automatics (16)
Unclaimed Slots (2 - reserved for party crashers)

Compare my bracket to CBS Sports Bracketology and many others at Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix.

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Schmolik
 
Posted on: March 14, 2010 4:50 pm
Edited on: March 14, 2010 5:33 pm
 

Final 2010 Schmolik 64

2010 Schmolik 64

Hello, college basketball fans!

Welcome to the Final 2010 Schmolik 64!

Regional matchups in the Final Four are Midwest vs West and East vs South

Automatic bids in CAPS

MIDWEST REGIONAL (St. Louis, MO Fri/Sun March 26-28)

Oklahoma City, OK (Thur/Sat March 18-20)
1 KANSAS (32-2) vs 16 WINTHROP (17-13)
8 Gonzaga (25-8) vs 9 WASHINGTON (24-9)

San Jose, CA (Thur/Sat March 18-20)
5 Richmond (26-7) vs 12 Unlv (24-8)
4 Villanova (24-7) vs 13 MURRAY STATE (28-4)

Jacksonville, FL (Fri/Sun March 19-21)
6 Maryland (22-8) vs 11 SIENA (27-6)
3 Pittsburgh (24-8) vs 14 UC SANTA BARBARA (19-9)

Milwaukee, WI (Fri/Sun March 19-21)
7 SAN DIEGO STATE (23-8) vs 10 Utah State (26-7)
2 OHIO STATE (27-7) vs 15 HOUSTON (18-15)

WEST REGIONAL (Salt Lake City, UT Thur/Sat March 25-27)

Buffalo, NY (Fri/Sun March 19-21)
1 WEST VIRGINIA (27-6) vs 16 VERMONT (25-9)
8 Georgia Tech (21-12) vs 9 Missouri (22-10)

New Orleans, LA (Thur/Sat March 18-20)
5 Vanderbilt (23-8) vs 12 Texas El Paso (26-6)
4 Michigan State (24-8) vs 13 CORNELL (25-4)

San Jose, CA (Thur/Sat March 18-20)
6 Xavier (24-8) vs 11 Louisville (20-12)
3 New Mexico (29-4) vs 14 MONTANA (20-9)

Oklahoma City, OK (Thur/Sat March 18-20)
7 NORTHERN IOWA (28-4) vs 10 Wake Forest (19-10)
2 Kansas State (25-6) vs 15 NORTH TEXAS (22-8)

EAST REGIONAL (Syracuse, NY Thur/Sat March 25-27)

Milwaukee, WI (Fri/Sun March 19-21)
1 KENTUCKY (32-2) vs 16 Play In Winner: LEHIGH (22-10) vs ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF (17-15)
8 Clemson (21-10) vs 9 Notre Dame (23-11)

Spokane, WA (Fri/Sun March 19-21)
5 Texas A&M (22-9) vs 12 NEW MEXICO STATE (21-11)
4 Wisconsin (23-8) vs 13 OHIO (20-14)

Providence, RI (Thur/Sat March 18-20)
6 Brigham Young (28-5) vs 11 Minnesota (21-13)
3 TEMPLE (27-5) vs 14 WOFFORD (26-8)

Providence, RI (Thur/Sat March 18-20)
7 Texas (24-9) vs 10 Florida State (22-9)
2 Georgetown (23-10) vs 15 ROBERT MORRIS (23-11)

SOUTH REGIONAL (Houston, TX Fri/Sun March 26-28)

Buffalo, NY (Fri/Sun March 19-21)
1 Syracuse (28-4) vs 16 E. TENNESSEE STATE (19-14)
8 OLD DOMINION (26-8) vs 9 ST. MARY'S (25-5)

Spokane, WA (Fri/Sun March 19-21)
5 Tennessee (25-8) vs 12 Illinois (19-14)
4 Baylor (24-7) vs 13 OAKLAND (24-8)

New Orleans, LA (Thur/Sat March 18-20)
6 BUTLER (25-4) vs 11 Marquette (22-11)
3 Purdue (27-5) vs 14 SAM HOUSTON STATE (21-7)

Jacksonville, FL (Fri/Sun March 19-21)
7 Oklahoma State (22-10) vs 10 California (23-10)
2 DUKE (29-5) vs 15 MORGAN STATE (27-9)

Big East: 8
Big 12: 7
Big 10: 6
ACC: 6
MWC: 4
SEC: 3
A-10: 3
Pac 10: 2
WCC: 2
C-USA: 2
WAC: 2
One bid: 20

Last Team In: Illinois

Just Missed: Mississippi State, Virginia Tech, Rhode Island, Florida

Schmolik






Category: NCAAB
Tags: Schmolik
 
Posted on: March 14, 2010 12:25 pm
 

Final Schmolik Bubble Watch (3/14/10)

Schmolik Bubble Watch

Hello, college basketball fans!

Updated: March 14, 2010

It's time for Schmolik's Bubble Watch. For many teams, this is a make or break week. Bubble Watch analyzes who is on the bubble and their chances of making the NCAA's.

First, teams that I feel are locks for the tournament. As always, I reserve the right to change my mind during the week. Automatic Bids not included. (* Still alive for automatic bid).

ACC: Duke*, Maryland, Clemson, Florida State, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech*
A-10: Temple*, Xavier, Richmond*
Big East: Syracuse, West Virginia*, Villanova, Pittsburgh, Georgetown*, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame
Big 10: Ohio State*, Purdue, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Minnesota*
Big 12: Kansas State, Baylor, Texas A&M, Texas, Oklahoma State, Missouri
C-USA: Texas El Paso
MWC: New Mexico, Brigham Young, UNLV*, San Diego State*
Pac 10: California
SEC: Kentucky*, Vanderbilt, Tennessee,
WAC: Utah State*
WCC: Gonzaga

Bubble Teams Still Alive for Automatic Bid
SEC: Mississippi State

Total # Locks: 34
Minimum # At Large Locks: 33
Automatic Bids: 31
Remaining Bids: 1
As of Now: 5 teams in contention. If Mississippi State wins, they are the one.

RPI Data courtesy of CBSSports.com as of March 14, 2010 morning.

RPI/ Conf or Non Conf RPI: Good RPI is 30's or higher, marginal is 40's, poor is 50's or below.
*Last 10 games: 7-3 or better is a strength, 5-5 or lower a weakness.
SOS/Non Conf SOS: Good is top 20, bad is below 100.
Top 25 games: Strength: Two or more, Weakness: Zero
Top 50 games: Strength: Four or more, Weakness: One or fewer
Bad losses: Weakness: Home losses to teams below 100 in RPI, Loss to teams below 200 in RPI

* CBSSports.com lists “Last 10” in their RPI data. Although the last 10 games or last 12 games has been removed as an official criteria, the official bracket procedures state “chronological results” are considered so a poor or strong finish may still matter.

Bubble Teams (In/Out as of Last Schmolik 64 Update)

ACC

Virginia Tech (In)

Strengths: Conference RPI (40)
Weaknesses: RPI (59), Non Conf RPI (98), Non Conf SOS (339!), no Top 25 wins

Tournament Result: Lost ACC 1st round game to Miami (seeded 12th in conference).

Atlantic 10

Rhode Island (Out)

Strengths: RPI (40), Conf RPI (5!)

Weaknesses: Conf RPI (81), 4-6 in last 10 games, no top 25 wins, only one top 50 win

Tournament Result: Lost A-10 SF game to Temple

Outlook:

Big 10

Illinois (Out)

Strengths: Three Top 25 wins (Vanderbilt, at Wisconsin, vs Wisconsin in Big 10 tournament), Five Top 50 wins
Weaknesses: RPI (74), Non Conf RPI (124), Non Conf SOS (111), 4-6 in last 10 games, Bubble Loss: Home to Minnesota

Tournament Result: Lost Big 10 SF game to Ohio State (double OT)

Outlook:

SEC

Florida (In)

Strengths: Conference RPI (37), Bubble Wins (Mississippi State),

Weaknesses: RPI (56), Non Conf RPI (78), Non Conf SOS (110), 4-6 in last 10 games, Bubble Loss (vs Mississippi State in SEC Tournament), Bad Loss: Home vs South Alabama

Tournament Update: Lost to Mississippi State in the SEC SF.

Mississippi State (Out)

Strengths: Bubble Wins: vs Florida in SEC Tournament, Sweep over Mississippi

Weaknesses: RPI (54), Non Conf RPI (69), Non Conf SOS (208), Bubble loss: at Florida, Bad Loss: Home vs Rider

Should Be In If: Only way to be 100% sure is to win
Should Be On the Bubble If: Loses

Schmolik

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bubble, Schmolik
 
Posted on: March 13, 2010 8:54 am
 

Schmolik Bubble Watch - 3/13/10 (Upated RPI #'s)

Schmolik Bubble Watch

Hello, college basketball fans!

Updated: March 13, 2010 AM

It's time for Schmolik's Bubble Watch. For many teams, this is a make or break week. Bubble Watch analyzes who is on the bubble and their chances of making the NCAA's.

First, teams that I feel are locks for the tournament. As always, I reserve the right to change my mind during the week. Automatic Bids not included. (* Still alive for automatic bid).

ACC: Duke*, Maryland, Clemson, Florida State, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech*
A-10: Temple*, Xavier*, Richmond*
Big East: Syracuse, West Virginia*, Villanova, Pittsburgh, Georgetown*, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame
Big 10: Ohio State*, Purdue*, Michigan State, Wisconsin
Big 12: Kansas*, Kansas State*, Baylor, Texas A&M, Texas, Oklahoma State, Missouri
C-USA: Texas El Paso*
MWC: New Mexico, Brigham Young, UNLV*, San Diego State*
Pac 10: California*
SEC: Kentucky*, Vanderbilt*, Tennessee*
WAC: Utah State*
WCC: Gonzaga

Bubble Teams Still Alive for Automatic Bid
A-10: Rhode Island
Big 10: Minnesota, Illinois
Pac 10: Washington
SEC: Mississippi State

Party Crashers Still Alive for Automatic Bid
ACC: Miami, NC State
C-USA: Houston
WAC: New Mexico State

Total # Locks: 35 (not counting Big East, Big 12, and MWC champs)
Minimum # At Large Locks: 29
Automatic Bids: 31
Remaining Bids: 5
As of Now: 7 teams in contention. I may return some teams to consideration between now and Sunday.

RPI Data courtesy of CBSSports.com as of March 13, 2010 morning.

Thursday/Early Friday Update: Butler now automatic bid, Marquette, Notre Dame, Utah State, UNLV added to locks. Arizona State, Seton Hall, South Florida removed.

Friday Update: Mississippi removed from consideration. Kent State added to bubble list.

RPI/ Conf or Non Conf RPI: Good RPI is 30's or higher, marginal is 40's, poor is 50's or below.
*Last 10 games: 7-3 or better is a strength, 5-5 or lower a weakness.
SOS/Non Conf SOS: Good is top 20, bad is below 100.
Top 25 games: Strength: Two or more, Weakness: Zero
Top 50 games: Strength: Four or more, Weakness: One or fewer
Bad losses: Weakness: Home losses to teams below 100 in RPI, Loss to teams below 200 in RPI

* CBSSports.com lists “Last 10” in their RPI data. Although the last 10 games or last 12 games has been removed as an official criteria, the official bracket procedures state “chronological results” are considered so a poor or strong finish may still matter.

Bubble Teams (In/Out as of Last Schmolik 64 Update)

ACC

Virginia Tech (In)

Strengths: Conference RPI (39), Bubble wins: at Georgia Tech
Weaknesses: RPI (56), Non Conf RPI (100), Non Conf SOS (342!), no Top 25 wins

Tournament Result: Lost ACC 1st round game to Miami (seeded 12th in conference).

Outlook: As of Friday AM, Virginia Tech’s RPI was 52. Expect it to drop after losing to Miami. Great ACC profile (although loss to Miami hurts), horrible non conference profile. If the Selection Committee wishes to make a statement about non conference scheduling, look for the Hokies to get the shaft. If Georgia Tech upsets Miami, don’t be surprised if Georgia Tech passes Virginia Tech in the ACC pecking order.

Atlantic 10

Rhode Island (Out)

Strengths: RPI (38), Non Conf RPI (5!)

Weaknesses: Conf RPI (85), 5-5 in last 10 games, no top 25 wins, only one top 50 win

Should Be In If: They make the A-10 final, beating Temple
Should Be On the Bubble If: They lose to Temple

Outlook: If the A-10 will get another at large bid, it will be Rhode Island. They have the highest RPI, a terrific non conference RPI, and wins over Dayton and Charlotte.

Big East

No Bubble Teams

Big 10

Illinois (Out)

Strengths: Three Top 25 wins (Vanderbilt, at Wisconsin, vs Wisconsin in Big 10 tournament), Five Top 50 wins
Weaknesses: RPI (69), Non Conf RPI (123), Non Conf SOS (105), 5-5 in last 10 games (including 5 of last 7), Bubble Loss: Home to Minnesota

Should Be In If: They make the Big 10 final, beating Ohio State
Should Be On the Bubble If: They lose.

Outlook: Clearly have only one strength (quality wins), but it’s the one that the NCAA (at least according to almost everyone in the media) seems to like the most and teams have in the past gotten away with poor RPI numbers and poor finishes if they have a few quality wins. The RPI did crack the top 70 although still a very questionable RPI (and a loss to Ohio State probably drops it below 70 although I imagine not by much). Minnesota winning throws a wrench into things as the closer the two get in profile, you have to give the edge to Minnesota.

Minnesota (Out)

Strengths: Two Top 25 wins (vs Butler, Wisconsin), Four Top 50 wins
Weaknesses: RPI (68), Conf RPI (61), Non Conf RPI (74), Bad Losses: at Indiana, Home to Michigan

Should Be In If: They make the Big 10 final, beating Purdue.
Should Be On the Bubble If: They lose.

Outlook: With a lot of teams falling out, Minnesota is making a last ditch case to get in. They clearly have the top wins and even better a win at Illinois. In many ways, they are just like Illinois, lousy RPI numbers but good wins. Those bottom feeder Big 10 teams really hurt the Big 10 in RPI, not only Illinois and Minnesota but Ohio State and Michigan State (not even in the top 25). In conference, Illinois did finish a game ahead and had a tougher Big 10 RPI/SOS. Here’s a couple of scenarios I didn’t think were possible at the start of the week: 1) Minnesota would be the 5th Big 10 team instead of Illinois, 2) The Big 10 could actually get SIX teams in the NCAA’s. Hey, why not? Should Illinois and Minnesota play in the Big 10 final, can you say only the winner gets in?

Big 12
No Bubble Teams

Conf USA

No Bubble Teams

MWC

No bubble teams.

Pac 10

Washington (In)

Strengths: Non Conf RPI (23), 8-2 in last 10 games, Two top 25 wins (Texas A&M, California)

Weaknesses: Conf RPI (67), Bad Losses: Home to USC and Home to Oregon

Should Be In If: Probably can’t be sure unless they win it all.
Should Be On the Bubble If: They lose.

Outlook: The way things are going for Washington, it looks like they should be in. Certainly Stanford’s upset helped them win but prevented the Huskies from getting a quality win. Of course they can remove all doubt by winning over Cal.

SEC

Florida (In)

Strengths:  Conference RPI (37), Bubble Wins (Mississippi State),

Weaknesses: RPI (54), Non Conf RPI (77), Non Conf SOS (107), 4-6 in last 10 games, Bubble Loss (vs Mississippi State in SEC Tournament), Bad Loss: Home vs South Alabama

Tournament Update: Lost to Mississippi State in the SEC SF.

Outlook: Florida had beaten Mississippi State in the regular season already but in Gainesville. You would think MSU’s win in the SEC would be worth more. Still, considering Mississippi State had a bye helped. In addition, while Florida beat Michigan State and Florida State, Mississippi State has no top 25 wins. I’m not convinced that MSU is an automatic over Florida. The worst thing that happened Friday to the Gators was them losing to Mississippi State. The second worst thing probably was Minnesota beating Michigan State. It put Minnesota into bubble consideration and took away one of Florida’s Top 25 wins, leaving them just Tennessee.

Mississippi State (Out)

Strengths: Bubble Wins: vs Florida in SEC Tournament, Sweep over Mississippi

Weaknesses: RPI (63), Conf RPI (51), Non Conf RPI (71), Non Conf SOS (209), no top 25 wins, just one top 50 win, Bubble loss: at Florida, Bad Loss: Home vs Rider

Should Be In If: Makes the SEC final
Should Be On the Bubble If: Loses

Outlook: See Florida. While I don’t think it’s a done deal Mississippi State will be considered ahead of Florida, I guarantee they will be considered ahead of Ole Miss or there will be a lot of bad blood in that state between the two schools this upcoming year.

Other

None

Schmolik



Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bubble, Schmolik
 
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com